Journal of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering

Journal of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering

Stabilizing Intermediate-Term Medium-Range Earthquake Predictions

Document Type : Seismology and Engineering Seismology

Authors
1 ICTP and Russian Academy of Sciences
2 Russian Academy of Sciences ICTP
3 ICTP and University of Trieste
4 University of Trieste ICTP
Abstract
A new scheme for the application of the intermediateterm medium-range earthquake prediction algorithm M8 is proposed. The scheme accounts for the natural distribution of seismic activity, eliminates the subjectivity in the positioning of the areas of investigation and provides additional stability of the predictions with respect to the original variant. According to the retroactive testing in Italy and adjacent regions, this improvement is achieved without any significant change of the alarm volume in comparison with the results published so far.
Keywords

Volume 4, Issue 2 and 3
Summer 2002
Pages 11-19

  • Receive Date 10 September 2014
  • Accept Date 26 December 2020
  • Publish Date 01 July 2002